Tag Archives: Debt
Debt: Latest News
Kurt Davis Jr., 5:57 am AFKI Original
The story of American bank Goldman Sachs buying $2.8 billion worth of Venezuela government bonds back in May stirred a, perhaps unwarranted, backlash from the morality police, but it gave the country’s government a much needed financial windfall, and made money for the banks involved. With that in mind, and similar opportunities available in sub-Saharan Africa, we offer Goldman Sachs a few candidates in the region to put on their radar.
Kurt Davis Jr., 12:01 am AFKI Original
African bond investors are laying the rules for 2017 after a tumultuous 2015 and 2016. Senegal’s $1.1 billion Eurobond launch earlier this month establishes the parameters. The offering – more than eight times oversubscribed – demonstrates investors will reward African countries for growth and political stability. But what many African sovereign bond issuers will have to consider is how big yields could become. In some corners of the continent, bankers may start to ask if there will be a penalty for those holding significant undisclosed debts.
Global Risk Insights, 4:15 pm
Investors continue buying Nigerian bonds despite economic recession for the first time in 25 years, and urgent calls for reform. In March, high-profile investors competed on the London Stock Exchange for Nigerian debt, a 15-year $1B eurobond issued while President Buhari was being treated in London for an undisclosed illness. S&P affirmed a stable economic outlook. If Buhari leaves office abruptly, the administration’s gains in the fight against Boko Haram could be reversed, an analyst said. The president’s mystery illness is generating uncertainty.
Staff, 1:01 am
Overall, capital importation into Nigeria fell 47 percent in 2016. Foreign direct investment flows were way up but portfolio investments were way down, deterred by the recession and the currency. Nigeria in 2016 imported the bulk of its capital from Britain, the U.S. and Netherlands, with the telecoms, banking and oil sectors the main beneficiaries. Nigeria’s stock market fell 6.2 percent in 2016 while the naira lost a third of its official value against the dollar. In 2017, stocks continue to fall, down 3.1 percent so far.
Dana Sanchez, 10:32 am
Faced with an escalating price war at home in India, Bharti Airtel is looking to its African operations to reduce debt. India is one of the most competitive telecom markets in the world. The company lost $91 million in Africa in Q3 of 2016. Airtel has 22.14 percent market share in Nigeria and 34.1 million customers. Market observers in Nigeria say lack of access to foreign exchange for operators, falling revenue per user and customers’ lack of disposable income are hurting telecom operators in the country.
Dana Sanchez, 2:13 pm
After oil prices crashed, Angola could no longer service its US$25 billion debt to China. Since the loans were supposed to be paid in oil, most of Angola’s crude production now goes to debt repayment, leaving little to finance economic development. Spending has decreased by 40 percent and cuts to water sanitation and waste collection helped put Angola sixth-to-last on World Bank’s index of inequality. Unlike Angola, Mozambique’s foreign debt and accompanying economic problems cannot be traced back to Chinese loans. Instead they are the result of Chinese illegal fishing in its waters.
Kurt Davis Jr., 8:15 am AFKI Original
Mozambique had a tough 2016. The country is unable to pay its debt until gas revenues are available after 2021. Public debt is expected to be near 130 percent of GDP by the end of 2016. The IMF continues to help Mozambique negotiate with creditors – a bright spot considering the IMF suspended aid to the country in April after evidence of $2 billion in hidden loans came to light. This “hidden debt” by state-owned firms has destroyed creditors’ trust in Mozambique.
Kurt Davis Jr., 10:11 am AFKI Original
It is the end of the year, a time when companies close the books and forecast 2017. As African governments roll out 2017 budgets or budget adjustments, it’s an ideal time to take an early look at the two gigantic problem countries — sub-Saharan Africa’s second- and third-largest economies. A sustained low oil price could all but doom these African budgets and burden their economies. Will debt markets be willing to service Nigeria? President dos Santos said he is prepared to step down — not bad timing. Angola may be the giant taking the hardest punches.
Kurt Davis Jr., 10:10 am AFKI Original
The risk in some sub-Saharan Africa deals can push mezzanine interest rates up between 20-30%. Yet mezzanine finance is a vital opportunity for the SSA financial market. Avoiding equity dilution is a top concern for entrepreneurs and family business owners. Mezzanine finance is a way to do that. If the company is willing to assume more debt to avoid equity dilution, then mezzanine finance is vital. Mezzanine finance is also a vital part of greenfield or brownfield infrastructure, especially power projects.
Kurt Davis Jr., 3:21 pm AFKI Original
Fund managers have struggled in 2016 to raise capital for sub-Saharan Africa-focused natural resource funds. Here’s where having a $1 billion sub-Saharan Africa natural resources fund really helps. In 2017, expect more assets on the market at more reasonable prices. The focus will be on capital management. Expect a buyer’s market. Low M&A value will persist but expect a recovery in volume of deals. Transaction structures will become more complicated. Expect contingencies as buyers and sellers attempt to manage exposure to commodity price volatility.
- Real Estate