Tag Archives: Debt
Debt: Latest News
Global Risk Insights, 4:15 pm
Investors continue buying Nigerian bonds despite economic recession for the first time in 25 years, and urgent calls for reform. In March, high-profile investors competed on the London Stock Exchange for Nigerian debt, a 15-year $1B eurobond issued while President Buhari was being treated in London for an undisclosed illness. S&P affirmed a stable economic outlook. If Buhari leaves office abruptly, the administration’s gains in the fight against Boko Haram could be reversed, an analyst said. The president’s mystery illness is generating uncertainty.
Staff, 1:01 am
Overall, capital importation into Nigeria fell 47 percent in 2016. Foreign direct investment flows were way up but portfolio investments were way down, deterred by the recession and the currency. Nigeria in 2016 imported the bulk of its capital from Britain, the U.S. and Netherlands, with the telecoms, banking and oil sectors the main beneficiaries. Nigeria’s stock market fell 6.2 percent in 2016 while the naira lost a third of its official value against the dollar. In 2017, stocks continue to fall, down 3.1 percent so far.
Dana Sanchez, 10:32 am
Faced with an escalating price war at home in India, Bharti Airtel is looking to its African operations to reduce debt. India is one of the most competitive telecom markets in the world. The company lost $91 million in Africa in Q3 of 2016. Airtel has 22.14 percent market share in Nigeria and 34.1 million customers. Market observers in Nigeria say lack of access to foreign exchange for operators, falling revenue per user and customers’ lack of disposable income are hurting telecom operators in the country.
Dana Sanchez, 2:13 pm
After oil prices crashed, Angola could no longer service its US$25 billion debt to China. Since the loans were supposed to be paid in oil, most of Angola’s crude production now goes to debt repayment, leaving little to finance economic development. Spending has decreased by 40 percent and cuts to water sanitation and waste collection helped put Angola sixth-to-last on World Bank’s index of inequality. Unlike Angola, Mozambique’s foreign debt and accompanying economic problems cannot be traced back to Chinese loans. Instead they are the result of Chinese illegal fishing in its waters.
Kurt Davis Jr., 8:15 am AFKI Original
Mozambique had a tough 2016. The country is unable to pay its debt until gas revenues are available after 2021. Public debt is expected to be near 130 percent of GDP by the end of 2016. The IMF continues to help Mozambique negotiate with creditors – a bright spot considering the IMF suspended aid to the country in April after evidence of $2 billion in hidden loans came to light. This “hidden debt” by state-owned firms has destroyed creditors’ trust in Mozambique.
Kurt Davis Jr., 10:11 am AFKI Original
It is the end of the year, a time when companies close the books and forecast 2017. As African governments roll out 2017 budgets or budget adjustments, it’s an ideal time to take an early look at the two gigantic problem countries — sub-Saharan Africa’s second- and third-largest economies. A sustained low oil price could all but doom these African budgets and burden their economies. Will debt markets be willing to service Nigeria? President dos Santos said he is prepared to step down — not bad timing. Angola may be the giant taking the hardest punches.
Kurt Davis Jr., 10:10 am AFKI Original
The risk in some sub-Saharan Africa deals can push mezzanine interest rates up between 20-30%. Yet mezzanine finance is a vital opportunity for the SSA financial market. Avoiding equity dilution is a top concern for entrepreneurs and family business owners. Mezzanine finance is a way to do that. If the company is willing to assume more debt to avoid equity dilution, then mezzanine finance is vital. Mezzanine finance is also a vital part of greenfield or brownfield infrastructure, especially power projects.
Kurt Davis Jr., 3:21 pm AFKI Original
Fund managers have struggled in 2016 to raise capital for sub-Saharan Africa-focused natural resource funds. Here’s where having a $1 billion sub-Saharan Africa natural resources fund really helps. In 2017, expect more assets on the market at more reasonable prices. The focus will be on capital management. Expect a buyer’s market. Low M&A value will persist but expect a recovery in volume of deals. Transaction structures will become more complicated. Expect contingencies as buyers and sellers attempt to manage exposure to commodity price volatility.
Dana Sanchez, 12:12 pm
All the big geopolitical players are refining their transition strategies and post-Mugabe plans. Two transitional bailout plans — one from Western backers and another from China — are being refined in anticipation of the post-Mugabe era. The Western package underwrites Vice President Emmerson Mnangagwa’s ascendancy while the Chinese deal is largely designed to shore up First Lady Grace Mugabe and her Zanu PF faction’s political ambitions, according to local Zimbabwean media.
Kurt Davis Jr., 9:29 pm AFKI Original
Mozambique, the economic darling of 2014 and 2015, is facing a perfect storm of problems — some self created. Political tensions are at their highest since the lead-up to the October 2014 presidential election. Sporadic attacks on road transport and other infrastructure in central Mozambique have fueled growing fears of instability. This has influenced international decision makers and weighed heavily on foreign investment. The government may not be to blame for everything, but frustration with the country’s debt is definitely a government problem.
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